Investment Idea: How To Make Money When Markets are Falling.

It's been a terrible year for most assets classes around the globe, particularly stocks. Over the last month alone mainstream indexes have felt substantial pain, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down -6.23%, FTSE 100 down -4.2%, Nikkei 225 -3.4%, & MSCI Asia Pacific -2.52%.

It is possible, however, to take advantage of share price declines through a concept known as "short selling", which is simply explained in this video from Investopedia: Short Selling Explained

Financial innovations in public markets, and the rise of exchange-traded funds, make it even easier to engage in short selling for investors of all levels of experience, residing anywhere in the world. We've identified the overall Brazilian stock market as an attractive market to "short", which is simple and convenient to achieve via the ProShares Ultrashort Brazil ETF


         In summary, our 4 main reasons to invest:
  1. Brazil has been riding positive sentiment since the election of pro-business candidate, Jair Bolsonaro. We think this situation is similar to the election of Cyril Ramaphosa in South Africa last year - candidates who are strong on economic policy, but face structural economic & political issues which are difficult to solve in the short-term, and the market will soon realize that. (Stan Druckenmiller confirms Brazil, and South Africa are a lottery ticket in 36th minute of this interview with Realvision, available here.)
  2. 2019 is likely to be another volatile year in equity markets. Holding short positions in vulnerable assets, like Brazil, provides the extra upside when markets fall.
  3. Being a net commodities exporter means that the Brazilian economy is heavily reliant on the export of agricultural commodities. If global demand continues to soften, and trade negotiations deteriorate, this will be detrimental to the currency and exacerbate the current account and fiscal deficits.
  4. We think asset demand will return to emerging markets in 2019, but will favor Asian markets, which are structurally sound, to the detriment of Latin American and African markets.
Read: Profiting From The Decline in Brazilian Stocks

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